Main points
- Russia is considering creating a buffer zone in Vinnytsia Oblast, but the actual capacity to implement this plan is low.
- The Ukrainian Defense Forces are controlling the situation on the border with Transnistria, despite potential Russian plans.
Russia is considering creating a buffer zone in Vinnytsia Oblast across occupied Transnistria. However, the Russians' real capacity to implement such an ambitious plan is extremely low.
Ukrainian Volunteer Army spokesman Serhiy Bratchuk explained to Channel 24 that Russian troops in Transnistria are effectively blocked.
Are the Russians capable of striking at Vinnytsia?
Deputy Head of the OP, Brigadier General Pavlo Palisa, stated that the Russians are considering creating a buffer zone in the Vinnytsia region from the Transnistrian side. The fact that the information is being discussed at the level of the top military-political leadership indicates that the threat is real.
Such statements by senior officials demonstrate awareness of Russia's plans and show that the situation is under control. Transnistria is a temporarily occupied territory of Moldova, and any Russian movements from there are viewed through the prism of Russia's strategy. Moldova has the right to independently resolve this historical issue in accordance with international law.
The border with Transnistria is well protected by fortifications and military measures – the Defense Forces keep the situation under control. The Russians may have plans to occupy Mars or fly to the Moon, but the implementation of these plans is quite another. The Americans flew to the Moon and can claim it. The Russians shine flashlights towards the Moon on Cosmonautics Day. That's the entire space state for today,
– said Bratchuk.
Russian forces in Transnistria do not have sufficient logistics and support, either by land or air, to implement their plans in Vinnytsia. However, information about potential risks is useful for modeling different scenarios and preparing for the worst.
Pay attention! Military observer Ivan Tymochko believes that the disclosure of the enemy's plan is a preventive measure that takes away the enemy's surprise effect. In addition, it helps locals be more vigilant near the borders.
What else is known about the course of the war in Ukraine?
-
Volodymyr Zelenskyy stressed that any talk about handing over Donbas to Russia is unacceptable, as it creates the threat of new attacks on Kharkiv and other Ukrainian cities. According to him, such a scenario could cause a split in society.
-
In March, Ukrainian drones increased their effectiveness – enemy losses increased by 29% compared to February, and over 150 thousand targets were hit.
-
On the night of April 9, Russian drones attacked Odessa and the region, and damage to critical infrastructure is known.