Main points
- Bookmakers predict a victory for Finland at Eurovision with the song Liekinheitin, performed by Linda Lampenius and Piet Parkkonen, with a chance of 34%.
- The first semi-final on May 12 will feature Moldova, Greece, and Finland, while the second semi-final on May 14 will feature Denmark, Australia, and Ukraine.
Bookmakers' favorites for Eurovision 2026 / Channel 24 collage
The grand final will take place in Vienna on May 16, where the entire European community will learn the name of the new winner. Obviously, bookmakers' predictions may still change, or may not correspond to reality if the final turns out to be different from what was expected.
As of May 8, 2026, bookmakers predict the following distribution of the top five places among the participating countries: 1st place – Finland, 2nd place – Greece, 3rd place – Denmark, 4th place – France, 5th place – Australia. Ukraine currently ranks 11th. The rating is published on the eurovisionworld website.
Finland
Chance of winning – 34%
Representatives: Linda Lampenius and Piet Parkkonen with the song Liekinheitin
Linda is a violinist. At the age of eight, she became a member of the Helsinki Youth String Orchestra, and by her teens, she was already touring North America, Europe, and Asia. When she released a solo album, it was this that brought the artist fame.
Pete Parkkonen, on the other hand, became famous thanks to his participation in the show “Idols”, where he took third place in 2008. He has several albums, tours, and concerts to his credit.
Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen – Liekinheitin | Finland: watch the video online
Greece
Chance of winning – 14%
Representatives: Akilas Mityleneos with the song Ferto
The singer has been fond of music since childhood. He studied at a music school and also took theater classes. The artist gained popularity in 2021 thanks to TikTok. Aquilas published videos where he plays the ukulele and sings songs. In 2024, he released the hit single Atelié.
Greece – Rehearsal Clip: watch the video online
Denmark
Chance of winning – 11%
Representatives: Søren Torpegaard Lund with the song Før Vi Går Hjem
This artist studied at the Danish School of the Arts and became a participant in major stage shows. In 2021 and 2022, he played the lead role of Tony in the musical “West Side Story”. For which he received an award.
Søren Torpegaard Lund – Before We Go Home: watch the video online
France
Chance of winning – 7%
Representatives: Monroe with the song Regarde
The singer is only 17 years old. She is known as a French-American singer. She was born and raised in the USA. She started singing from early childhood and has already received a musical education in classical singing.
In 2025, she won the classical music television show Prodiges. After that, she signed a contract with the Warner Music label, and in late 2025, she released her debut album, consisting of classical works.
Monroe – Regarde!: watch the video online
Australia
Chance of winning – 6%
Representatives: Delta Goodrem with the song Eclipse
The singer wrote the song for the competition herself. She signed her first record deal at the age of 15. Her debut album, Innocent Eyes, became a 23-times platinum phenomenon and one of the best-selling albums in Australia.
Delta Goodrem – Eclipse: watch the video online
How will the countries perform in the first and second semi-finals of Eurovision?
The first semi-final will take place on May 12. The participating countries will perform in the following order: Moldova, Sweden, Croatia, Greece, Portugal, Georgia, Finland, Montenegro, Estonia, Israel, Belgium, Lithuania, San Marino, Poland, Serbia.
The second semi-final will take place on May 14. The participating countries will perform in the following order: Bulgaria, Azerbaijan, Romania, Luxembourg, Czech Republic, Armenia, Switzerland, Cyprus, Latvia, Denmark, Australia, Ukraine, Albania, Malta, Norway.