Banking expert predicts stable dollar, less sharp euro fluctuations next week

This was reported by the director of the financial markets and investments department of the Globus bank, Taras Lesovoy, in an interview with Ukrinform.

As Lesovoy noted, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) continues to be the main player in the market, using currency interventions to balance supply and demand for the US dollar.

In the near future, the regulator will probably set a moderate rate, since the market is able to maintain balance on its own, especially due to the active actions of the agricultural sector during the harvest period, when farmers massively sell currency to buy fuel. Thus, the demand for the US dollar will not significantly exceed the supply.

“Under this scenario, currency indicators will remain stable: fluctuations in the dollar exchange rate, the difference between the interbank and cash market rates, and the difference between buying and selling will remain at a minimum level. The forecast assumes that the US dollar exchange rate will be in the range of about 41.65-42 UAH without significant fluctuations,” Lesovoy noted.

Meanwhile, according to him, the euro exchange rate is influenced by the global situation of the dollar/euro currency pair and internal fluctuations in the hryvnia exchange rate against the dollar. This ratio forms the value of the euro on the Ukrainian market.

“Despite the instability of the exchange rate, sharp fluctuations and crisis changes are not expected. The US dollar as a reserve world currency remains a reliable asset. The same goes for the euro, supported by a stable EU economy, which reduces the risks of its weakening. Consequently, the euro exchange rate, as before, will fluctuate within the traditional corridor – approximately 1.15-1.20 dollars per euro,” Lesovoy emphasized.

Let us recall that as of August 8, 2025, the official exchange rate of the Ukrainian hryvnia is set at the following levels: US dollar – UAH 41.45 (as of August 7, 2025 – UAH 41.61); euro – UAH 48.27 (as of August 7, 2025 – UAH 48.28).

Photo: NBU

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