Russia unlikely to fully repair Crimean Bridge until September 2023 – British intelligence

According to Ukrinform, the UK Ministry of Defense said this in its latest intelligence update published on Twitter.

Thus, on 8 November the road bridge was due to be closed to allow the movement and installation of a replacement 64-metre span. Three more spans will be required to replace the damaged road sections.

“Although Crimean officials have claimed these additional spans will be in place by 20 December, a briefing provided to President Putin added that works to the other carriageway would cause disruption to road traffic until March 2023. Replacement of the damaged rail bridge has been contracted for completion by September 2023, although Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister stated the repair timeline would be expedited,” the ministry said.

It is stressed that one track is en, but rail transport remains restricted. Repair activity will be heavily dependent on weather conditions through the winter months.

In addition, the Crimean bridge attack has disrupted Russian logistics supplies for Crimea and southern Ukraine, reducing Russia’s ability to move military equipment and tros into the area by rail or road.

“The damage to the bridge, the recent attack on the Black Sea Fleet in Sevast and the probable withdrawal from Kherson all complicate the Russian government’s ability to paint a picture of military success,” the ministry said.

The Crimean Bridge is an illegally built road bridge connecting the temporarily occupied Crimean peninsula with Russia through the Kerch Strait. Since February 24, 2022, the occupiers have been transporting military echelons, equipment and ammunition through it. On October 8, an explosion hit the Crimean Bridge, which partially limited the supplies of equipment and ammunition to Russian forces.